Hurricane the storm Grows Stronger While Moves Towards the Island Nation
Hurricane Melissa is projected to strengthen into a infrequent highest-level storm as it turns in the direction of the Caribbean island, causing deadly rapid inundation and landslides.
This weather system, which registered winds of up to 195 km/h as of 6:00 AM GMT, is now shifting north-west in the Caribbean Sea and is expected to reach land by Tuesday, based on data from weather experts.
Warnings of power cuts and disruption to utilities have been announced as Melissa produces up to thirty inches of rainfall and coastal flooding as high as 4m above typical tides. "Find safe refuge immediately," locals have been told.
Melissa is the 13th hurricane in this year's Atlantic hurricane season, which usually concludes in the eleventh month.
Category Five Storm Risk
A Category 5 hurricane is the most intense classification, with winds of at least 252 km/h.
Although Melissa is projected to diminish in strength to a Category 4 cyclone before arriving at Jamaica, experts said there was "almost no noticeable change in the overall impacts" upon making contact with land, and that the cyclone will be "at least that intensity" when it strikes the island.
Urgent Preparations
With tropical storm-level gusts and precipitation already expected ahead of it moves across central Jamaica - including potentially the capital, Kingston - warnings indicate that "safety measures need to be finalized quickly".
"Several days of damaging winds and heavy rainfall are underway and will cause devastating and dangerous sudden floods and numerous landslides," counseled climate experts.
Jamaican Prime Minister the official stated: "I understand that there are numerous residents who are worried, who are deeply troubled, and appropriately: concern is justified.
"However the optimal approach to handle worry and any unease and concern is to be prepared."
Residents are being told to protect their properties with sand barriers and timber panels, and to stock up on necessary supplies.
Wider Consequences
Alerts are also ongoing for regions of Haiti such as the primary urban center, the neighboring country and the eastern part of Cuba, where the hurricane is expected to bring comparable impacts by the midweek period.
Mudslides presently generated by the cyclone have resulted in two fatalities in the country, according to local authorities.
Future Course
Melissa is forecast to move across the island nation by Wednesday before passing across the Antillas Mayores and out into the open ocean.
By the time it arrives at the Caribbean nation, it is forecast to have diminished to a third-level hurricane.
Environmental Context
While it is difficult to associate individual weather events to climate change, scientists say it is causing climate patterns more prevalent and more severe.
Higher ocean heat produce more moisture in the environment, contributing to the formation of hurricanes.
Prior to the commencement of this season's Caribbean cyclone season, weather organizations predicted above-normal activity, referencing warmer seas and likely enhanced seasonal rains around African coastal regions - where tropical systems frequently develop.